Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#110
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#79
Pace63.3#261
Improvement+2.8#61

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#110
Improvement-0.3#197

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#110
Improvement+3.1#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 20, 2014 233   @ Eastern Illinois W 63-61 67%     1 - 0 +1.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Nov 22, 2014 304   @ Furman W 58-55 81%     2 - 0 -2.4 -2.7 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2014 122   Utah St. W 77-70 OT 64%     3 - 0 +6.9 +0.0 +0.0
  Nov 29, 2014 322   Utah Valley W 64-43 94%     4 - 0 +7.4 -6.8 -6.8
  Dec 03, 2014 346   San Jose St. W 70-56 97%     5 - 0 -4.3 -9.1 -9.1
  Dec 06, 2014 240   @ Idaho L 71-79 69%     5 - 1 -9.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 09, 2014 233   Eastern Illinois W 80-70 83%     6 - 1 +3.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 20, 2014 194   @ Air Force W 81-75 60%     7 - 1 +7.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Dec 22, 2014 257   @ Northern Colorado W 73-63 72%     8 - 1 +7.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 28, 2014 167   @ Washington St. L 83-90 54%     8 - 2 -4.3 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 30, 2014 276   @ Seattle L 67-76 74%     8 - 3 -12.1 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 07, 2015 260   Cal St. Northridge W 71-61 87%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +1.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Jan 10, 2015 137   Long Beach St. W 73-67 OT 68%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +4.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 15, 2015 218   @ UC Riverside W 74-61 64%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +13.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 17, 2015 295   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 79-68 78%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +6.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 22, 2015 123   @ Hawaii L 76-84 42%     12 - 4 4 - 1 -2.4 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 29, 2015 109   UC Santa Barbara W 70-64 61%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +6.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 31, 2015 154   Cal Poly W 81-78 OT 72%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +0.7 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 05, 2015 102   @ UC Irvine W 75-56 37%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +26.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Feb 07, 2015 260   @ Cal St. Northridge W 68-55 73%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +10.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 12, 2015 295   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-69 90%     17 - 4 9 - 1 -4.1 -5.1 -5.1
  Feb 19, 2015 137   @ Long Beach St. W 65-58 46%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +11.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 21, 2015 123   Hawaii W 74-67 64%     19 - 4 11 - 1 +6.9 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 26, 2015 109   @ UC Santa Barbara L 60-74 39%     19 - 5 11 - 2 -7.4 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 28, 2015 154   @ Cal Poly W 66-56 51%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +13.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Mar 05, 2015 218   UC Riverside W 61-59 81%     21 - 5 13 - 2 -3.8 -2.9 -2.9
  Mar 07, 2015 102   UC Irvine W 80-61 60%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +20.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Mar 12, 2015 260   Cal St. Northridge W 71-67 81%     23 - 5 -1.5 -2.8 -2.8
  Mar 13, 2015 123   Hawaii L 58-65 54%     23 - 6 -4.2 +1.4 +1.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%